|
Seven large
tuberculin skin test surveys were conducted at 5-year intervals in Korea
between 1965 and 1995. Those reacting with zero millimeter
induration have been excluded from graphic display of the frequency
distribution of tuberculin skin test reaction sizes. In
1965, a very clear bimodal distribution is seen with a first peak
at 2 to 3 mm and a second at 18 mm. The right distribution
closely resembles the distribution seen in tuberculosis patients.
Very few persons have reaction sizes between 6 and 11 mm. Thus, any
cut-off point to denote the presence of tuberculous infection in this
range will be reasonably accurate. If for instance a cut-off point
of 8 mm is chosen, the error made by including some individuals with 8 or
9 mm who have actually no tuberculous infection will be very small. In
1995, the situation is very different. Quite obviously, the
prevalence of infection has remarkably decreased. The determination
of a proper cut-off point has become more difficult and misclassifications
result now in a much greater error. Thus,
depending on the magnitude of the prevalence of tuberculous infection,
the errors of misclassification will be smaller (high prevalence) or
larger (low prevalence) in this particular setting. To
top |